PPP Strikes Back
Author | : Mr. Haroon Mumtaz |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 43 |
Release | : 2003-04-01 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781451895537 |
ISBN-13 | : 1451895534 |
Rating | : 4/5 (37 Downloads) |
Download or read book PPP Strikes Back written by Mr. Haroon Mumtaz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When heterogeneity is properly taken into account, estimates of the real exchange rate half-life fall dramatically, to little more than one year, or significantly below Rogoff''s "consensus view" of three to five years. We show that corrected estimates are consistent with plausible nominal rigidities, thus, arguably, solving the PPP puzzle.