An Empirical Examination of the Divergence Between Managers' and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts

An Empirical Examination of the Divergence Between Managers' and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts
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Total Pages : 55
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1304494353
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Rating : 4/5 (53 Downloads)

Book Synopsis An Empirical Examination of the Divergence Between Managers' and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts by : Somnath Das

Download or read book An Empirical Examination of the Divergence Between Managers' and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts written by Somnath Das and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study circumstances when analysts' forecasts diverge from managers' forecasts after management guidance, and the consequences of this divergence for investors and analysts. Our results show that investors' return response to earnings surprises based on analyst forecasts is significantly weaker when analyst and management forecasts diverge, and that this attenuating effect is stronger when the management forecast is more credible. When the divergent management forecast is more accurate than the analyst consensus forecast, the subsequent-quarter analyst consensus forecast is significantly more accurate than that of the current quarter, and exhibits less serial correlation. Overall, our findings suggest that, when analyst and management forecasts diverge, investors find the two sources to contain complementary information, and analysts learn to improve their subsequent forecasts.


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