Has the Phillips Curve Become Steeper?

Has the Phillips Curve Become Steeper?
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 23
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9798400242915
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (15 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Has the Phillips Curve Become Steeper? by : Mr. Anil Ari

Download or read book Has the Phillips Curve Become Steeper? written by Mr. Anil Ari and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-05-12 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes whether structural changes in the aftermath of the pandemic have steepened the Phillips curves in advanced economies, reversing the flattening observed in recent decades and reducing the sacrifice ratio associated with disinflation. Particularly, analysis of granular price quote data from the UK indicates that increased digitalization may have raised price flexibility, while de-globalization may have made inflation more responsive to domestic economic conditions again. Using sectoral data from 24 advanced economies in Europe, higher digitalization and lower trade intensity are shown to be associated with steeper Phillips curves. Post-pandemic Phillips curve estimates indicate some steepening in the UK, Spain, Italy and the euro area as a whole, but at magnitudes that are too small to explain the entire surge in inflation in 2021–22, suggesting an important role for outward shifts in the Phillips curve.


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