The Cross-sectional Determinants of US Stocks Returns

The Cross-sectional Determinants of US Stocks Returns
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:858000905
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Book Synopsis The Cross-sectional Determinants of US Stocks Returns by : Fangzhou Huang

Download or read book The Cross-sectional Determinants of US Stocks Returns written by Fangzhou Huang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis, we investigate the relationship between the US stock returns and downside risk in a cross-sectional context. When the classic market model with a moving window approach is adopted, downside risk estimated coefficients exhibit a positive impact on stock returns. However, when two other non-linear time-varying models; the cuiic piecewise polynomial function (CPPF) and the Fourier Flexible Form (FFF) models are adopted, downside risk estimated coefficients show a negative impact on stock returns, Cross-sectinally, the reisk estimated coefficients of the town non-linear models produce a much better fit than the classic market model. The predictive power for future stock returns of downside risk estimated coefficients are found to be weak. Two more risk factors: commodityh market risk and Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti (ADS) business condition index risk (both downside and upside versions thereof), are shown to have a significant effect on stock returns.


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