The Walk-Down to Beatable Forecasts

The Walk-Down to Beatable Forecasts
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Total Pages : 53
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1305018417
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (17 Downloads)

Book Synopsis The Walk-Down to Beatable Forecasts by : Hongping Tan

Download or read book The Walk-Down to Beatable Forecasts written by Hongping Tan and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use the framework developed in Richardson et al. (2004) to identify country, firm and analyst characteristics that we expect to be associated with the prevalence of the analyst walk-down forecast pattern. Based on a large sample of 50,649 analysts covering 33,645 firms from 46 countries during 1992-2014, we find that the walk-down pattern positively correlates with country characteristics related to insider trading restrictions and equity sales. It also positively relates to the stock market reward for beating analyst forecasts, firm-level characteristics underlying management concerns with share prices after earnings announcements, and analysts' incentives to cooperate with management. The effects of these factors on the walk-down pattern are more pronounced in countries with better media-coverage institutions. Overall, these findings suggest that capital market incentives affecting the communication between managers and analysts and the resulting analyst forecast bias involves various forces including a country's institutional infrastructure, and firm and analyst characteristics.


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