Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
Author | : Karl Diether |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2008 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1291160432 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 (32 Downloads) |
Download or read book Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Karl Diether and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide evidence that stocks with higher dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts earn lower future returns than otherwise similar stocks. This effect is most pronounced in small stocks, and stocks that have performed poorly over the past year. Interpreting dispersion in analysts' forecasts as a proxy for differences in opinion about a stock, we show that this evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that prices will reflect the optimistic view whenever investors with the lowest valuations do not trade. By contrast, our evidence is inconsistent with a view that dispersion in analysts' forecasts proxies for risk.