Long- and Short-Term Cryptocurrency Volatility Components

Long- and Short-Term Cryptocurrency Volatility Components
Author :
Publisher :
Total Pages : 24
Release :
ISBN-10 : OCLC:1304406372
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (72 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Long- and Short-Term Cryptocurrency Volatility Components by : Christian Conrad

Download or read book Long- and Short-Term Cryptocurrency Volatility Components written by Christian Conrad and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use the GARCH-MIDAS model to extract the long- and short-term volatility components of cryptocurrencies. As potential drivers of Bitcoin volatility, we consider measures of volatility and risk in the US stock market as well as a measure of global economic activity. We find that S&P 500 realized volatility has a negative and highly significant effect on long-term Bitcoin volatility. The finding is atypical for volatility co-movements across financial markets. Moreover, we find that the S&P 500 volatility risk premium has a significantly positive effect on long-term Bitcoin volatility. Finally, we find a strong positive association between the Baltic dry index and long-term Bitcoin volatility. This result shows that Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to global economic activity. Overall, our findings can be used to construct improved forecasts of long-term Bitcoin volatility.


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